Page
Nineteen
16 JUNE 2005
Weak comparisons and even weaker logic.
|
|||
Nova Scotia Profits From Ferry by Cristina Domingues by Jeff Hamson Published Jun 02, 2005 As the fast ferry between Bar Harbor, Maine and Yarmouth, Nova Scotia pulls into Yarmouth, people try to catch a glimpse of their destination. It's the ferry's first crossing of the season. So on shore, they welcomed in the CAT with a cake. Eight thousand people live in Yarmouth. It's known as the international gateway to the province of Nova Scotia because many Americans cross here to enter Canada. (Unlike Rochester NY.) In the 1800s, Yarmouth was the area's biggest ship-building center. That changed over the years. Today, fishing is its number one employer. Tourism is right behind it. (Unlike Rochester NY.) Many of those tourists are coming in on the CAT. "Ask any merchant on Main Street in downtown Yarmouth and they'll tell you how important the CAT is, those people coming and spending their time, shopping, eating and doing whatever they're doing," said Yarmouth Deputy Mayor Martin Pink. Like Rochester will have to do, tourism officials here say making Yarmouth a popular tourist destination means knowing how to sell what you've got. They do that by tying in their hotels, inns, restaurants and attractions to trips on the CAT. "It gives people a taste of what we are all about, and the industry that we have, our history,” said Karen MacKay, Yarmouth County Tourism Association. “Once they take that tour we get them back. We get the repeat people back. Whether they're here for one night, two nights, they want to go on and explore the rest of Nova Scotia."
The Manor Inn is one of those places that gets repeat visitors. Terry Grandy and his wife have owned it since 1983. "A lot of advance work has to be done to attract guests to your place,” said Grandy. “You have to look ahead, six months, nine months, a year down the road…and partnering with major providers such as the CAT to bring people into the area." They'll be relying even more on the CAT for tourism now. A ferry that used to run from Portland, Maine to Yarmouth has stopped service. |
|
|||
Bar Harbor Ferry Like Rochester's by Cristina Domingues photo by Jeff Hamson Published Jun 02, 2005 Rochester's fast ferry operator Bay Ferries has been operating a ferry from the US to Canada since 1997. Its high-speed ferry from Maine to Nova Scotia, is very much like the one here in Rochester. Hundreds started lining up early to get onboard for the CAT’s maiden run of the season on May 27th. For the Akins from Rhode Island, it was much more than a ferry ride. "It's an adventure,” said Betsy Akin, who came with her husband and two daughters. “Sometimes we look at doing whale-watching trips, and it can cost you $175. So I tell the kids, take the crossing and keep your eyes peeled." (That's wonderful Betsy, but on Lake Ontario, whale sightings are pretty much non-existent. For that matter, aside from other watercraft, there's nothing to see except water. Not a bad thing, but nothing that's going to send the excitement factor off the chart either.) "It cuts off a lot off driving time, and it's a great crossing,” said David Akin. “Usually it's a faster way to get there, and we enjoy taking it." (Unlike the Toronto-Rochester ferry route.) The Akins were four of more than 400 passengers onboard the CAT that day. Capacity on the ferry is 900 passengers and up to 250 cars. It's a little bigger than the Rochester ferry which can fit 774 passengers and 238 cars.
The Maine-Nova Scotia CAT has two food and drink bars. It has a cafe. There are two movie areas and a duty-free shop. It also has an area Rochester doesn't have on its ferry, a casino. Bay Ferries executives say having a casino on board has been successful. People like coming on board and playing a game. They say not having one in Rochester won't make or break the ferry's success. "It's not part of the plan, and it's not foreseen to be part of the plan,” said Bay Ferries CEO Mark MacDonald. “We're focused on all the other sides of the Rochester business at the moment, and there are lots of things to deal with there." Bay Ferries say it will attract Rochester and Toronto travelers by offering packages. That's what Bay Ferries sells for tourists in Maine and Nova Scotia. The packages include rides back and forth on the CAT and then day trips or overnight stays in Nova Scotia. Vann and Eva Herrell flew all the way up from Tennessee just to ride the CAT "It was exciting,” said Eva Herrell. “I like going to the deck and watching the waves and watching the landscape.” “The architecture,” said Vann Herrell. “We're always looking for a lighthouse." And as they're looking, they're spending. “We spent three nights in Bar Harbor. That's a fabulous place,” said Vann. In Yarmouth? "Restaurant and a little shopping there." That little shopping can add up to big tourists dollars on both sides of the sea. (Unlike Toronto. Selling a few trinkets to ferry passengers who stomp the tourist haunts isn't going to have an iota of impact on the GTA economy. Toronto's economy stands to benefit very little from the ferry service. Rochester is banking on it.) |
|
|||
Ferry Brings Tourists to Bar Harbor by Cristina Domingues photo by Jeff Hamson Published Jun 01, 2005 Jeff Dobbs lives and works in Bar Harbor, Maine. He started his own production company 26 years ago, shooting commercials and documentaries all across the state of Maine. He's also vice chair of Bar Harbor’s Town Council. "By and large, the population lives here because of what Bar Harbor is: a tourist community but also year-round community and the combination of both makes it a good place to live." Kevin DesVeaux came to Bar Harbor from central Maine 16 years ago. He owns and runs the West Street Cafe and is the president of Bar Harbor's Chamber of Commerce. “The water drew me here and the park and all the outdoor activities."
Like the almost 5,000 people who live in Bar Harbor both of these men and their businesses are tied to tourism. In the 1850s, Bar Harbor's popularity began to grow. The first hotel was built in 1855. By 1870, there were 16. While the first to visit Bar Harbor were artists, scholars and writers, it soon became a summer place for some of America's wealthiest families. Today Bar Harbor is Maine's number one tourist destination. (Unlike Rochester, which is a virtual tourist desert.) The town of Bar Harbor is 28 miles long from west to east. The downtown is basically four main streets, comprised of many mom and pop shops. The area also has a working waterfront. (Unlike Rochester which has a beach closed more than it's open... and little else) Part of the waterfront is Bay Ferries' CAT, the ferry both Dobbs and DesVeaux credit with helping generate much of the town's tourism. "On any given night, I can ask people who come into this restaurant how they heard about us or how did they hear about Bar Harbor,” said DesVeaux. “Any given night, I’ll hear someone talk about the CAT. They'll come and stay a night or two before or returning from a run to Canada and stay a night once they get here." Dobbs produces many of the promotional videos for Bay Ferries. They're seen all across the country. The company has one of the largest advertising budgets in the state. When it advertises the CAT, it advertises Bar Harbor. "The CAT is an economic generator for the town, because it's an attraction," said Dobbs. A ferry in some form or another has been in Bar Harbor since the 1950s. It's not only an attraction, but almost a way of life. "I can't imagine Bar Harbor without a ferry to Nova Scotia. It's part of the town's history, it's part of what we are," said Dobbs. |
The absurdity of these comparisons defies common sense. The only similarity to the Yarmouth-Bar Harbor route is the vessel itself and the company which runs the service. Other than that, it's foolish to try and draw analogies between the communities.
Yarmouth NS to Bar Harbor ME is a 630-mile trip by car which is, at the very least, a ten hour drive.
Rochester NY to Toronto ON is a 160-mile trip by car which is, at the very most, a three-and-a-half hour drive.
The Yarmouth-Bar Harbor ferry crossing takes 2 hours and 45 minutes.
The Rochester-Toronto ferry crossing takes 2 hours and 30 minutes.
Yarmouth NS, Bar Harbor ME and Toronto ON are all major tourist destinations. Rochester NY has never been a major tourist destination and with few year-round attractions and fewer in the works, that's not likely to change very soon.
So what's the point of drawing any sort of comparison with Bay Ferries' other routes? Are we supposed to translate the experiences of other Bay Ferries-serviced routes and imagine similar results? Is the purpose of this little cheerleading exercise meant to bring a slight ray of optimism in the face of certain failure?
Whatever. In keeping with only thinking 'nice' thoughts about the ferry, the local leaders and media are working overtime to come up with positive stories. "See? If the ferry has this effect on _____ , it'll have the same effect here." Simple assumptions work best here as we don't want to venture into unknown territory; imitation is the preferred choice of action.
Hey... French-English bilingualism works in a Montréal... let's try it here! Cablecars are a big hit in San Francisco... why not here? Toronto built the world's tallest free-standing structure... if it works there, it'll work here.
Well, no... no, they won't work here. Merely copying other community attractions is meaningless, yet that doesn't keep the local developers from trying. Paraphrasing, "Some people see things as they are and ask, 'Why'?; Other people dream things that never were and ask, 'Why not?'" Rochester has a problem with dreaming and imagining bold and innovative initiatives. It would rather copy another community than develop a completely novel idea... the ferry idea is nothing new as any Rochester or Cobourg ON resident over age 40 can explain. The old Rochester-Cobourg ferry of the 1950's played no small role in the reincarnation by a catamaran ferry.
An updated concept? Yes. An innovative concept? No.

Take a look at the map above. Compare the red-lined car routes with the blue-lined ferry routes for both Yarmouth-Bar Harbor and Toronto-Rochester. The ferry's top speed is only 55 mph... if it cruised at 70 to 80 mph, there might be a case for time savings on the Lake Ontario route. The Yarmouth-Bar Harbor route can present fairly compelling arguments for both time saving and cost justification as gas in the Maritimes ain't cheap and few tourists are eager to pull a 630 mile drive in one day... an overnight stay along the way is more than likely.
Actually, dirigible service from Toronto to Rochester would have a better chance at attracting passengers... and would stand about as much chance of financial success. At least the view would be better and crossing times would be comparable to the ferry. A dumb idea?
|
"The
Cat is the fastest car ferry in North America! Carrying up to 900
passengers and 240 cars across the Gulf of Maine at highway speeds from mid
May to mid October. The Cat makes the crossing up to twice daily providing
the best way between Maine and Nova Scotia.
Designed for ocean conditions, the Cat glides smoothly over the water and cuts a six-hour journey on a traditional car ferry down to two hours and 45 minutes. The Cat saves its passengers a full day's driving between Yarmouth, Nova Scotia, and Bar Harbor, Maine, (over 600 miles or 1000 kilometers) which means an extra day of vacation." |
Probably no more than a 'fast' ferry.
Note the sales pitch for the Yarmouth-Bar Harbor route at the right from www.catsferry.com.
(1) "... from mid-May to mid-October.." Although Lake Ontario ferry crossings are expected to drop to a few times per week in the 'off season', with nowhere near the incentive as the NS-ME route it's highly speculative to expect there'll be sufficient consumer demand to financially cover the daily ferry operations.
(2) "... The Cat saves its passengers a full day's driving... which means an extra day's vacation." Hmm. Sounds good to me. What's the Toronto-Rochester route save?
It might be worth noting that considering the CATS debacle, it's highly doubtful any bank or private shareholders could have managed to resurrect the service. Would YOU buy shares in a company for a project that had just failed? Banks and lenders would walk away from the offer just as fast.
But armed with access to the public coffers, and to hell with the real reason the ferry flopped (not enough demand), the City of Rochester forged ahead with a mule-headed determination to 'make it work' in spite of all indicators which said it couldn't. The only organization which could keep the thing alive for a little longer would be one which had the deepest pockets and didn't have to report back to owners. Shareholders are to be treated like royally; the public is to be treated with contempt. Don't like it? "So don't vote for me next time... assuming I'm running the next time."
When the ferry halts operations by year's end, do we simply shrug it off and say, "oh well" and complacently pay the bill anyway?
Or do we start hauling the architects and supporters of this grand debacle in front of some sort of tribunal or commission and demand accountability? Somebody's going to have to answer for the failure of this project and I, for one, am not going to shoulder any of the blame as a non-customer to something I've said all along wouldn't -- and couldn't -- work.
Let the blame be placed where it's supposed to be. And let the culpable be forced to admit and accept the consequences of their grievous errors in judgment.
22 JUNE 2005
'Cast-Off. The Sequel.'
|
|||
Ferry Service To Restart June 30 by R News Staff Published Jun 22, 2005 Rochester's fast ferry, The Cat, will resume service between Rochester and Toronto June 30, according to the vice president of Bay Ferries, the ferry operator. Don Cormier told reporters Wednesday that the fast ferry will begin crossing Lake Ontario with paid passengers a week from Thursday as long as the ship passes what he called two "crucial" days of testing. The Cat is scheduled to undergo two days of full systems runs on the lake June 25 and 26. Should engines that have been repaired in recent weeks and the ferry's myriad of electronic systems stand up to the test, service will resume the thirtieth, according to Cormier. Bay Ferries will send the ship across the lake to Toronto Thursday to make sure its equipment fits with that provided at Toronto's new ferry terminal. Things like the gang plank and other equipment will be checked to make sure they are fully operational. The ferry will remain in Toronto overnight and return to Rochester Friday in preparation for its two days of testing this weekend. Bay Ferries will offer free tours of The Cat on Sunday from noon to 5:00p.m. at the Port of Rochester in Charlotte. Toronto's port authority opens the terminal Monday |
("cue the trumpets, Fred...")
Yes, Dear Friends; that heady day of the Phoenix rising above the stench of insolvency has been announced.
And that day shall be Thursday, June 30, 2005... a date which will see a new beginning of promise for both sides of Lake Ontario. It fairly warms the cockles, doesn't it?
Actually, the truth be told, there's so much skepticism surrounding this service that no amount of confetti or hype is going to convince the paying public this boat is still going to be moving by the fall. Suing a private company for unhonoured tickets is different than taking a City government to court for the same. Methinks the taste dost still linger upon the palate of those previously burned.
Ever the optimist, I'll pretend (along with the organizers) that after a slow start, the public will collectively slap their foreheads and say to themselves, "Gee, what a swell way to get to Toronto/Rochester! Why don't I book a reservation right now??!!" Once word spreads that the excitement and thrill of a 2-1/2 hour boat ride are really worth the additional time, money and hassle of getting across the Lake... why, the thing will sell itself!
Yup. That's the ticket. There's the spirit. You naysayers need to get with the program and cheer on command.
So it goes. "Veni, vedi, vici"... "I came, I saw, I conquered". Spoken as true corporate-political mavericks who are as clueless of public needs and desires as they are self-aggrandizing twits. Sorry; this is one time when 'they' need 'us' more than 'we' need 'them'. And ain't that a kick upside the head?
Thursday, June 30th will see much fanfare and blustering. Men with third chins and bad haircuts will mug gleefully for the media while throngs of gawkers will fill the viewfinders of the cameras capturing the gala. Balloons won't be out of the question and you can bet your minivan there'll be legions of flag-wavers cheering the fête. With Canada Day being the next day, I just KNOW there'll be a sea of red and white flags wishing Canadians a Happy 138th. After all, considering it'll be the Canadian cash which saves or sinks this service, it would be a tremendous oversight not to try and integrate that Most Canadian of Days as part of the restart.
Tales of the Gardiner
YEE-haw.
Too bad the ferry passengers won't be driving the Gardiner into downtown; they'll be missing the transformation of an elevated highway which is morphing into a canyon of condos. They'll also be missing splendid visual proof that the GTA economy is sizzling hot. Let's play 'Count The Cranes'. That's a pretty good indicator that a fair amount of cash is floating around.
(The point isn't that obliterating the skyline with glass and steel is a good thing; it's just to show that tepid economies don't see much new development... so don't be getting on my case about the evils of all the waterfront development in Toronto.)
Haven't seen this much new construction in downtown and the lakefront since the 1980's. The Canadian economy, bolstered by quantum leaps in oil prices coupled with the discovery of diamonds in the North, is roaring along while Upstate New York is an economic wasteland. The Rochester community, sliding into malaise and decline, is still churning out daily reports of shootings and stabbings in both the City of Rochester and County of Monroe. Jobs are drying up faster than they're being replaced and the 18- to 35-year olds are fleeing faster than they're being replaced as well.
And the much ballyhooed 800 new jobs created this year are about to be offset with layoffs more than seven times that number. Courtesy of You Know Who. Net loss? More than 5,000 jobs. Nice try, local 'leaders', but you're still in the red.
Driving the Gardiner is a real strange sight for those Rochesterians who haven't seen a brand new building over five floors being built in over ten years in downtown Rochester. No, I'm not expecting 60-story condo buildings to suddenly sprout up by I-490, but one might think when a city gushes enthusiastically about a 'signature bridge' as being the latest bump in its skyline, there's really not much going on.
Oh. You want to see the new Troup-Howell Bridge over the Genesee River which carries the suburban commuters to their daily enclaves? First, here's the current setup; the I-490 (Troup Howell Bridge) is the one at the top of the photo (looking south):

Oh, My Stars and Garters. How droll. How pedestrian. How perfectly functional.
The new bridge... to open 2007 (looking north):

"Oooohh. Aaaahh. Oooohh."
To be fair, the ostentatious arches are needed to form a clear span across the river without any piers which are notorious for snagging the flotsam of the river. This way, the Genesee River is kept neat, tidy and 'just' the way we want it to look. It may still be a sludge-ridden slurry of biological nastiness, but at least it looks nicer. (Click here to go to the NYS DOT Troup Howell Bridge website.)
OK. That's the Grand Excitement for Downtown Rochester. I know it doesn't have the caché of a slew of high-rise residences with killer views and pricy architecture but along with the Ferry, it's the talk of the town here. Our Very Own Signature Bridge. And yes, the 30-storey black box in the background is Xerox Tower... Rochester's tallest 'skyscraper'.
And just as a suggestion; the artist's rendering of the bridge across the river makes the Genesee looks like width of the Mississippi. It's not. Neither is it a sparkling blue. At anytime of the year.
Chances are pretty good if you stood at this vantage at 1:00 am on any day of the week, within a matter of minutes a noticeable sense of uneasiness might ensue. So much for romantic city riverside strolls after a night at the theatre.
Anyway. For the moment, all the action is taking place down the river where it dumps into Lake Ontario... laced with 'ingredients' from one of the largest employers in the area ("Guess who?"). The ferry passengers are disgorged some seven miles from the above scene at the Port of Rochester which handles pleasure craft and not much more (the Port had to be reconfigured to accommodate the ferry).
Fine dining at the Port of Rochester? Fine art galleries? Upscale boutiques, shops or salons d'esthétiques? Nope. Hot dog-hamburg-ice cream stands, cheesy souvenir haunts and a few theme bars and restaurants are what greet the arriving passengers. Maybe we can build on that... you know, one of the $8/hour jobs created by the ferry could be some guy dressed up as Barnacle Bill with a parrot on his shoulder cashing in on the nautical theme. (Of course, only Kodak products would be permitted to photograph the scene. This is a pretty clannish town, doncha know?)
|
|
| Home > News > Local News |
|
Wait a minute. The local fishwrapper cranks out a really lackluster ferry assessment which has all the enthusiasm of reporting the school lunch menu? Dripping with sarcasm and innuendo, this journalistic ditty isn't exactly a solid ambassador for the 'new' service, is it?
But it does reflect a robust skepticism which abounds in this community. SOMEBODY'S going to hear about THAT little article... count on it.
Stayed tuned. The fun's about to begin.
30 JUNE 2005
Yeah, whatever...
|
|||
Fast Ferry Service Resumes by Greg Johnston photo by Scott Barstow Published Jun 29, 2005 It took nine months, but the Spirit of Ontario, Rochester's high-speed ferry, is back in service. The fast ferry departed from the Port of Rochester in Charlotte for Toronto at 8:21a.m. Thursday. The vessel was scheduled to push off at 8:00a.m. Dozens of people boarded the boat, but the exact number of passengers wasn’t yet known as of Thursday morning. The return of service was nine months in the making. The vessel was parked last September after the former operators of the ship, Canadian American Transportation Systems or CATS, went belly up. The company piled up a mountain of debt and was forced to fold. The city of Rochester purchased the ship in February for $32 million. In March, the city announced it had hired Bay Ferries to operate the ferry for $1.3 million a year. At the Port of Rochester Thursday morning, a ribbon cutting ceremony was held in celebration of the ferry’s return to service across Lake Ontario. “This has been a huge task, and everyone has worked well together,” said Bay Ferries Vice President, Don Cormier. Cormier then presented Rochester Mayor Bill Johnson with an honorary crew member suit. Johnson returned the gesture by presenting Cormier with a stuffed cat. Everything on board the vessel was operational, including the ship’s movie theaters, duty-free shop and food service. The ferry will return to Rochester at 9:30p.m. Thursday. |
Well now. Let's take another look: "Dozens of people boarded the boat, but the exact number of passengers wasn’t yet known as of Thursday morning." (Latest cable blurbs are putting the number at 350 passengers.)
"Dozens"? On a ship which has is capable of "accommodating approximately 750 walk-on passengers, up to 220 cars and up to 10 trucks and buses".
Mayor Bill, Monsieur Cormier and the requisite local cable news crew were on the tube gushing and smiling as images of kids playing video games and watching on-board cartoons acted as filler for the local news viewers.
Reporter Anthony Pascale weakly admitted on-air that "the ferry wouldn't actually save you any time getting to Toronto over driving" but once again raised the Excitement Factor as the main reason for booking passage. Pascale also pleaded with viewers to "give the ship a chance" and make at least one trip... you know, "Try it; you'll like it".
Thanks Tony. Think I'll still drive to the Canadian National Exhibition and use the saved ferry fare to pay for the entire day including underground parking. I'll also get there on my own schedule and not play the AAA-Bus-Tour-Itinerary Game where my day is dictated by somebody else's clock. I'll get there when I feel like it... and leave when I want. I'll also have a method of transporting my purchases other than my own two hands... dumping stuff in the car parked in the underground parking garage on the grounds of the Ex is far easier than waddling around 90° heat looking like some homeless wanderer.
A pair of local seniors, so thrilled at the prospect of taking a boat ride, couldn't sleep and were the first in line at 6am. That speaks volumes of the main attraction; it's the boat ride, not Toronto, which appeals to the locals. Sort of like taking a plane from Rochester to the Toronto Harbour Airport and hanging out until it's time for the return flight.
Time factor? Well, to be in line at 6 am for a 8 am shove-off (which turned out to be 8:20 am due to a 'reservations computer glitch'), the folks had better be up at 5 am. And had they pointed the car west towards the border instead of the Port of Rochester, they would have been able to stop, browse the Duty Free at Queenston-Lewiston, have breakfast and still hand out bagels to the arriving Rochester passengers. Easily. Even with the morning rush hour on the QEW and Gardiner.
But then they would have missed all the 'excitement'.
"Hundreds lined up to watch the ferry leave the port this morning". Sorry, but from the news footage the 'crowd' may have been 80 to 100 people -- tops -- but I'll not nitpick. Just wanted to paint a more realistic picture rather than play the public for the saps the media and local 'leaders' seem to think they are.
Hmmm. Perhaps I spoke too hastily.
Uhhm, Tony? You need to raise your goals a bit; if your idea of a 'dream come true' is taking a boat ride across Lake Ontario, your life must be very mundane indeed. (And they say Canadians are dull.)
The latest ferry buzz is 'now that the kinks have been worked out' and 'the previous operators got the bugs worked out' the ferry will sail gloriously forward without a hitch.
NOTHING'S CHANGED. There have been NO kinks (or bugs) worked out; the immutable facts still remain:
There isn't enough demand to sustain an operation of this magnitude.
There are none so blind as they who will not see. Fortunately, due to the lack of a sold-out first (latest?) sailing, coupled with a tepid crowd send-off, it's not hard to see many previous ferry supporters are adopting a somewhat skeptical stance this time around and with good reason.
See... it's been said Americans love winners and they push and shove to stand next to one, waving accolades of support and praise. But let that winner fail and suddenly the adoring crowds are no more. Pretty fickle and shallow, but Welcome to Life in America.
The first rendition of the Ferry á la CATS saw unfettered enthusiasm, flag waving and crowds furiously capturing the moment on digicams. "It'll work because they say it'll work" (Translation: "I'm such a gullible twit, what do I know?"). The project tanks and the erstwhile supporters wind up looking like douche bags.
Version Two with the 'Rochester' bumper sticker slapped on the side shoves off, and now the fans are pretty cautious. Thoughts such as, "I've heard all this before and it still failed" and "Geez, I'll look like quite the moron if I jump on the bandwagon and it fails again" or even "Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me" might be on the minds of the consumer and taxpayer.
Right now in Rochester, it's 89˚F at 62% humidity (feels like 36˚C / 96˚F). Toronto? 85˚F at 83% humidity (feels just as bad). We're Northerners. We're like a summer jello salad; we don't keep too well in high heat and humidity. Stomping around in the concrete and asphalt of a steaming urban setting just isn't high on the list of comfortable things to do and a stroll along Lake Ontario has the same vista on the north side of the lake as it does the south side.
In the case of the sleepless seniors who've been up since 5 am, my guess is they're on the verge of collapse by this time of the afternoon and they've got another five hours to go before the ship shoves off for the 2-1/2 hour return trip to Rochester. Of course that's assuming they're day-tripping, but even if they've brought along the overnighters for a stay at the Delta Chelsea, chances are they're not out browsing in Yorkville. (I mean, you don't actually think the majority of Rochester tourists ever stray far from the Yonge corridor, do you?)
All this is conjecture from some sardonic Mohawk, to be sure. But the point isn't to slam the chosen activities of the ferry passengers on arrival to their destination... it's to show the relatively few advantages of taking the ferry. And THAT'S what will cause this project to sink into insolvency... again.
The cost so far? $32 million for the ferry won by the city of Rochester at the auction, plus $1.3 million a year to Bay Ferries to operate the ship on behalf of the city, plus $18 million for a terminal at the Port of Rochester, plus incidentals like increasing fuel costs, $6,000 per day in pilotage fees (the ship's still flying a Bahamian flag), repairs and maintenance, border security, Coast Guard fees as well as the normal cost of doing business.
New terminals? Swell. Exciting new way to get to and from Toronto? Without question. Lots of on-board creature comforts? Yeah, OK.
Sustainable business venture? Not a chance. That's all I'm saying. That's all I've ever said.
Now, let's see how many Torontonians file off the ferry on its return trip tonight. Should be a real boatload as tomorrow is a national holiday and it doesn't get any better than that for pulling Canadians on board. If the boat's not packed tonight with return passengers and first-time Canadian riders, people better take notice and smell the coffee.
We shall see, won't we?
From the SSDD Files (Same S**t, Different Day):
|
|
| Home > News > Local News |
|
Truly mindless logic here.
Suppose I estimate the ridership will be a grand total of 3,650 for the first year.... ten passengers a day. That's a pretty low estimate, no? Shouldn't be too hard to get ten people a day to ride the ship, right?
But now imagine only eight people a day ride the ship... regardless of how ridiculous a number that may sound, if that's the reality, who cares what I'd originally estimated? I'm still going to find the operation running in the red in short order.
Now multiply the numbers by a factor of 100.... which will be fairly close to the city's estimate of 385,705 annual passengers. If the reality ("Oh, the Humanity..") is only 800 of the estimated 1,056 passengers show up, the city's plan winds up being training paper for the puppies. And The Cat's nine lives are all used up.
Get it? Well, there are a stunning number of local ferry supporters who don't. "How could we NOT get 1,056 passengers -- each day, every day -- to use the ferry?" Surprise! The first day back running, there were only 350 passengers heading over to Toronto from Rochester. That means there'd better be 706 passengers heading back on the return cruise or the city's ALREADY behind its estimates. From Day One. At the beginning of a summer holiday weekend in both Canada and the States.
Let's say this is December 15, 2005 and it's the typical raw, sloppy and ugly weather this area's so famous for.. on both sides of the lake. Try this one for size: If the quintessential summer holiday weekend can't prod enough people to take the ferry, how likely is a busy pre-holiday sucky weather day going to boost the numbers of riders? Bear in mind, each day the magic number of 1,056 isn't attained that means the next day will have to make up the difference. Etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.
"We're a private operator. We don't disclose that publicly," (Cormier) said.
Red Flag time. First, since this whole project is publicly owned there shouldn't be any secrets. And if the City of Rochester entered into an arrangement which allows its operator to keep books open only to themselves (such as numbers of passengers) how is the public supposed to know when or if to pull the plug? Or is the public supposed to financially prop up some white elephant ad infinitum?
Along that line of thought, who determines when to pull the plug? How deeply in debt will the Rochester Ferry Company be allowed to sink before the city says, "Enough"? Is a $50 million operating loss 'enough'? $70 million?
$100 million? How much is too much? Nobody's said as of yet. THAT should send up red flags as well.
Not to be overly dramatic here, but the first four days of this 'new' service will prove whether the venture will wallow along or sink in short order. Either way, the service has a limited life. This holiday weekend is going to be a peak in the graph of ridership over the next few months... just as Labour Day weekend will be a peak. How high that peak is will be seen as soon as the numbers come in (Oh, wait. We might be kept in the dark about that.)
And in a bit of irony, it'll be Canadians who decide whether this venture succeeds or fails. At a time when the U.S. is making overtures to the Canadian consumer, here's one time when the Great White North gets to say, "Get lost".
What's wrong with this picture?
|
|
Upgraded ferry port launches in Toronto
At Toronto's stark new ferry terminal, the curious board the Spirit of
Ontario, also known as The Cat, for tours of the ship on Monday. The
high-speed ferry is to start its run between Rochester and Toronto on
Thursday.
KARIN VON VOIGTLANDER staff photographer
|
Well, anybody who's been by Lake Ontario in the middle of February will tell you the cold wind cuts like a knife. Walking across an open gangway some thirty feet in the air next to the water with wet snow blowing sideways is a real downer. That may give a hint why airports have heated enclosed jetways, ya think?
OK. The 8 pm local cable news channel is reporting 200 reservations for the return cruise tonight back to Rochester. Added to the 350 passengers on the morning sail, that's around 550 passengers total for the first day. A little more than half the number of daily passengers the city of Rochester estimated.
Day One? Somewhat of a dud. Passengers are squealing with delight, but who cares? The net numbers are what count, not the number of smiles caught on tape. People were gushing when CATS ran the boat... and that didn't translate into enough paying passengers, now did it?
Day Two? Needs to have 1,056 PLUS around 500 in order to stick with the projected numbers.
And so on and so forth.
Considering fewer passengers are coming
back tonight on the return trip from Toronto, that means more people are
spending money in Toronto than in Rochester. So much for attracting the
Canadian dollar, but it's far too premature to arrive at any conclusion from the
first day.
See? I can be reasonable as well as realistic.
The ferry supporters are being neither.